Ultrafine Particles in the Air: Global Study Attributes Nearly Two Million Premature Deaths a Year

First high-resolution global exposure map shows about half of the excess deaths from ultrafine particle pollution are due to cardiovascular disease.

July 14, 2026

Joint press release of the Max Planck Institute for Chemistry, Mainz and the University Medical Center of the Johannes Gutenberg University Mainz

Ultrafine particles (UFPs) –smaller than 100 nanometres and invisible to the naked eye – contribute substantially to illness and mortality worldwide. That is the finding of an international study led by researchers at the Max Planck Institute for Chemistry in Mainz and The Cyprus Institute, with cardiologists from Mainz University Medical Center among the co-authors. The researchers estimate that around 1.99 million deaths per year worldwide are attributable to exposure to ultrafine particles. That accounts for about five percent of all deaths from non-communicable diseases. Roughly half of these are due to cardiovascular disease. The researchers therefore advocate for binding limit values. The study appears in the journal Cardiovascular Research (Oxford University Press, the journal of the European Society of Cardiology).

Unlike fine particulate matter (PM2.5), which is subject to legal limit values in the EU and the US, ultrafine particles remain unregulated. Although they contribute little to particulate mass, their small size gives them a very large surface area relative to their mass, allowing them to penetrate deep into the lungs, bypass respiratory defences, and reach the bloodstream and, via the olfactory pathway through the nose, the brain directly. This makes them fundamentally different from larger particulate matter.

Diagram illustrating the pathway of airborne particulate matter from atmospheric sources to human health impacts. — Scheme of the sources and health effects of ultrafine particles (UFPs): UFPs smaller than 100 nm are ubiquitous in polluted air. Although they carry little mass, UFPs have a large exposure surface area, can bypass respiratory defences, translocate into the brain and bloodstream, and impact the heart and other organs. Source: Lelieveld et al., Cardiovascular Research, 2026

Scheme of the sources and health effects of ultrafine particles (UFPs): UFPs smaller than 100 nm are ubiquitous in polluted air. Although they carry little mass, UFPs have a large exposure surface area, can bypass respiratory defences, translocate into the brain and bloodstream, and impact the heart and other organs.
Source: Lelieveld et al., Cardiovascular Research, 2026

A Global Exposure Map at 1-Kilometre Resolution

For the study, the team combined satellite data, land-use information and measurements from 155 locations worldwide with machine learning to map long-term exposure to ultrafine particles at a high resolution of one kilometre for the first time, covering the period from 2010 to 2019. Annual mean concentrations in cities typically range between 10,000 and 30,000 particles per cubic centimetre. The researchers present a range—referred to as a 95% confidence interval—for the estimate of 1.99 million premature deaths, indicating that there is 95% certainty that the true number of deaths falls between 0.81 million and 3.89 million.

Using a meta-analysis of large cohort studies from Europe and North America, the researchers also derived a mortality hazard ratio and combined it with the exposure data. The result: a mortality density of 35.7 (confidence interval: 15.8–65.5) per 100,000 people per year in Europe and 27.4 (confidence interval: 12.9–47.4) per 100,000 in North America. Exposure and mortality are particularly high in Southern and Eastern Europe. Globally, about 91 percent of UFP-related excess deaths occur in urban and suburban areas, with 78 percent in densely populated urban centres.

“Ultrafine particles are literally a blind spot in air quality policy: they are not covered by any regulation, even though they are ubiquitous in our cities. With our data, we can for the first time show worldwide where exposure is highest and which sources are responsible – above all combustion in traffic, industry and energy production. This gives policymakers a concrete tool to take targeted action.” Prof. Dr. Jos Lelieveld, Director emeritus at the Max Planck Institute for Chemistry in Mainz and lead author of the study

A Particular Danger to the Cardiovascular System

The study highlights that ultrafine particles are an underrecognised cardiovascular risk factor. They can cross the lungs into the bloodstream, trigger systemic oxidative stress and endothelial dysfunction, promote atherosclerosis, and are linked to hypertension, diabetes, heart failure, myocardial infarction and impaired coronary microcirculation. Animal and human studies also show effects on cardiac function and cellular metabolism, extending to impaired mitochondrial function – the cell’s powerhouses.

“What is particularly alarming for us in cardiology is that ultrafine particles bypass the body’s natural protective barriers and can reach the bloodstream – and even the brain – directly. In our own work, we see how the cardiovascular system responds to this exposure: with oxidative stress, damaged blood vessels, and an increased risk of heart attack and stroke. Roughly half of the deaths caused by ultrafine particles worldwide are due to cardiovascular disease. That makes one thing clear: clean air is heart health. We urgently need binding limit values and routine monitoring of ultrafine particles, just as we already have for fine particulate matter.” Univ.-Prof. Dr. Thomas Münzel, Senior professor at the Center for Cardiology at the University Medical Center Mainz

Combustion as the Main Source – Lower Limit Values Could Prevent Many Deaths

According to the researchers’ analysis, ultrafine particles in polluted regions consist mainly of black and organic carbon – typical combustion products. Globally, around 75 percent of exposure originates from fossil fuels, rising to over 90 percent in high-income countries; in lower-income countries, domestic wood burning also plays a significant role. The World Health Organization (WHO) and the European Union now classify ultrafine particles as a “contaminant of emerging concern.”

The Mainz study also shows that an annual limit value of 5,000 particles per cubic centimetre could reduce global excess mortality from ultrafine particles by around 45 percent. The authors therefore call for a consistent reduction of combustion emissions in cities – particularly from traffic, industry and energy production – accelerated expansion of non-fossil energy sources, and the inclusion of ultrafine particles in routine air quality monitoring to better capture their long-term health impact.

About the Study

The study, “Air quality and health implications of exposure to ultrafine particle pollution,” was produced by an international team led by Prof. Jos Lelieveld (Max Planck Institute for Chemistry, Mainz, and The Cyprus Institute), in collaboration with Dr. Pantelis Georgiades (Cyprus Institute) and researchers from the University of Helsinki, King Saud University, the Cyprus Institute, and the Department of Cardiology at Mainz University Medical Center (Prof. Dr. Thomas Münzel; the latter is also affiliated with the German Center for Cardiovascular Research (DZHK), Rhine-Main campus).

European Union flag with text indicating funding by the EU.

The study was funded in part through the EU Horizon Europe projects CATALYSE, EMME-CARE and MARKOPOLO. The underlying global data are freely available via the Zenodo repository (zenodo.org/records/14832351).

Terms:

Confidence Interval

The confidence interval (also trust interval) is a statistical measure that indicates the range within which a proportion lies with a certain degree of certainty (confidence level). For example, a 95% confidence interval of 0.81–3.89 million means that, with 95% certainty, the number of premature deaths lies between 0.81 and 3.89 million.

Excess mortality

Excess mortality is a statistical term that describes how many deaths in a given time period and region exceed the normal or expected level.